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Mail Ballot Elections — The Next Tsunami

January 12, 2007

Out of the frying pan into the fire

You can have an honest election, or you can have a mail in/absentee ballot election, but you can't have both at the same time.

By November 2006 the Help America Vote Act of 2002 (HAVA) (aka Leave No Voting Company Behind) 1 tidal wave had washed almost completely across America, destroying election integrity and trust in its wake, and brought to us by the same "leaders" who brought us war in Iraq; a war on drugs; the wholesale destruction of children, families, and marriage; torture; gulags; reinstituted indentured servitude and debtors prisons; and incurred a national debt of nearly $9 trillion dollars that is increasing by $1.7 billion a day.

One need not read far into the tabulation of problems by VotersUnite, or by the Equal Justice Foundation, to realize electronic voting has been a massive failure. The innumerable problems, in many cases initiated by requirements of HAVA, has led to often extreme distrust of voting machines in polling places. Nowhere is this more apparent than in November 2006 election in Riverside County, California, one of the first counties to switch to electronic voting.

In many cases, dysfunctional voting machines and incompetent or dishonest election officials have led to outrageous waits for voters at polling places, e.g., in several Colorado counties in November 2006 the last voters were not able to cast a ballot until 1:30 AM the next morning at voting centers . In some cases, notably Ohio, election officials apparently deliberately put too few electronic voting machines in minority or Democratic neighborhoods, forcing many potential voters to turn away rather than wait in line for many hours to vote. And, if citizens are able to vote at a precinct, the innumerable problems with electronic voting machines (documented here) and on many other web sites leaves voters justifiably uncertain if their vote was counted and, if counted, counted correctly?

In order to avoid the lines at polling places, and with well-founded mistrust in touchscreen (DRE) voting machines, an ever-increasing number of voters have taken to using absentee ballots in the correct belief that a hand-marked paper ballot is more durable and accurate than an ephemeral entry on a computer screen.

But absentee mail ballots are still counted by electronic voting machines, only now it is done in the proverbial "back room" largely out of public view, which suits embattled election officials and voting machine manufacturers just fine.

While election officials are being pummeled by public distrust of electronic voting, they are, as in the past, going in the wrong direction. Despite an unbroken record over the past decade of making elections worse, the apparent stampede of these simpletons is to propose all-mail ballot elections, as has been done in Oregon. The Oregon experiment is reviewed, and not favorably, by Prof. Melody Rose and Thomas Hargrove. But far be it from our apparently retarded election officials to be deterred by failures elsewhere. Besides, the increased use of absentee ballots makes it appear to them that it is "the will of the people" to have mail ballot elections.

Unfortunately the proposed cure, mail balloting, is worse than the disease of electronic voting.

And we certainly wouldn't want to return to the old-fashioned method of hand marking and hand counting paper ballots at our local precinct that worked so well for so many years. That would make the waste of public money and distrust in electronic voting machines too painfully obvious.

 

1. It is worth remarking that HAVA was sponsored by Congressman Bob Ney (R — Ohio), who later pled guilty to felony charges of conspiracy and making false statements in connection with the Jack Abramoff influence-peddling scandal. Also, Diebold is headquartered in Ohio and then-CEO Wally O'Dell was an infamous supporter of Republican candidates.


 

What are the problems with mail ballots?

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Links provide additional details about the problems tabulated

In early 2006 I was asked by a local election official to tabulate the problems I'd seen with mail ballot elections and absentee balloting. Obviously, conscientious election officials do their best to minimize these problems. However, the "less conscientious" do their best to simply hide "mistakes" and all too often we've encountered, and document in the chapter Lies, Damn Lies, And Mail In Elections, incompetent or corrupt election officials who ignore or are ignorant of the problems listed here.

It is also impossible for election officials to defend against and prevent all the problems listed in a given election using mail ballots. Thus, while the limited use of absentee ballots may be necessary, their usage should be strictly controlled and the closest possible scrutiny applied to all ballots sent and received by mail.

As noted, all-mail ballot elections have been widely touted, but have not been as successful as politicians and election officials would like us to believe. In no case should all-mail elections be used, especially in special district elections involving developers, or other elections where large dollar or tax issues are at stake.

Voter registration problems with mail ballots

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• Falsified voter registrations are common.

• Poll books and voter registration rolls are corrupt with no independent check possible.

Voter disenfranchisement with mail ballots

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• Voter disenfranchisement of about one-third of registered voters occurs as ballots are only mailed to active voters.

• Voters may be disenfranchised by selectively purging voter registration roles or intercepting mail ballots.

• Eligible voters are disenfranchised when someone else returns their mail ballot without their knowledge or consent.

• Even with requested absentee ballots about 10% may be returned by the Post Office as undeliverable to that address.

• It is known that mailed ballots are frequently lost because many are repeatedly "found" after the election is over.

• Wrong writing instruments are often used by voters at home to mark ballots.

• For additional information on this problem see the report by Prof. Douglas Jones (PDF) on tests conducted in Maricopa County (Phoenix), Arizona. An example of this problem in an election is described for the November 2003 election in Garfield County, Colorado.

• Contradictory instructions may be given to voters on how to mark ballots.

Ballot box stuffing is facilitated

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• Repeat voting is easily accomplished.

• People receive ballots for others, e.g., parents whose children have left home, apartment dwellers, fraternities, sororities, nursing homes, etc., and may fill out and submit those ballots.

• Voter signature and birthday often appears on outside of envelope compromising voter's privacy and security.

• Ineligible ballots from voters who have moved or are otherwise ineligible, e.g., in prison, are counted.

• Total loss of ballot inventory and control is inherent.

• Thousands of ballots are sent to questionable and temporary addresses (fraternities, sororities, nursing homes, apartment houses, brothels, motels, bars, empty homes, etc.).

• No independent check is possible on whether a voter received the proper ballot style, or whether the ballot they receive has all applicable issues and candidates included (or excluded).

Vote buying and selling

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• Voter intimidation by employers, unions, political parties, neighbors, special interests, relatives, and others is enabled and encouraged.

• Electioneering — Prohibited in polling place but go get 'em with mail ballot.

• Vote buying and selling is enabled.

• Ballots can be and are collected from voters by special assistants who may, or may not deliver the ballots for counting, or who may help the voter fill out their ballots.

Facilitates manipulating the vote count

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• Back room counting of ballots occurs without citizen oversight and often by relatives or cronies of the county clerk.

• Eligible votes may not be counted.

• Scanning errors when counting ballots are often ignored.

• Ballots are often redone by election officials in order to be machine readable.

• Mail ballots are often scanned multiple times.

• Voter has no idea whether their ballot was received and counted as marked.

• Loss of secret ballot.

Problems using optical scanners to count mail ballots

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In addition to the issues outlined above, counting mail ballots with electronic voting machines using optical scan methods leads to another set of problems. The more common ones known are listed below.

Note that there is a considerable difference in the requirements for a machine to scan a few hundred ballots, with just one or two ballot styles, in a precinct compared with the necessity of accurately and reliably scanning hundreds of thousands of ballots, with tens or hundreds of ballot styles, in mail in elections. An optical scanner that performs flawlessly in a precinct is much more likely to fail, or produce incorrect results when used to count ballots in the more demanding production environment of a mail in/absentee election.

However, as the ballots are counted in the "back room" at the county or city clerk's office, a concerted effort is often made to cover up problems and only the most obvious and egregious errors become public.

Known and common problems:

• Marking devices, i.e., pencil or pen, wrong ink color, mark intensity, etc., on paper ballots not recognized and votes are not counted by scanner. For an excellent review of such problems see the Statement regarding the optical mark-sense tabulators in Maricopa County, Arizona by Prof. Douglas Jones.

• Scanner sensitivity not properly calibrated or tested prior to election.

• Scanner heads become dirty or scratched and introduce reading errors. For example, voters at home may use correction fluid on their ballot that may wipe off on the read head of the scanner, or food gets spilled on the ballot that transfers to the scanner. This is a particular problem with mail elections where tens or hundreds of thousands of ballots may be scanned with a single machine.

• Defects in scanner cause apparent overvoting and votes are not counted.

• Double-sided ballots not sufficiently opaque and marks on opposite side bleed through particularly if wrong marking instrument, e.g. a Sharpie, is used.

• Overvoting rejection may be turned off (also used to discriminate against minority voters).

• Candidates and issues omitted when ballot is scanned.

• Ballots with straight-party votes may not be counted correctly.

• Ballots don't fit scanner, or cannot be, or are not read by scanner.

• Ballots jam often due to high humidity.

• Computer identifies voter thus preventing secret ballot (Hart Intercivic machines).

• Uncertified, untested, or wrong software, firmware, and hardware installed.

• Computers not programmed correctly and may be reprogrammed during election.

• Ballots have toner or ink transferred while folded and sacked for mailing and scanner reads smudge as vote or overvote.

• Fold in absentee or mail ballots read as vote or overvote.

Note

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This tabulation is not exhaustive and many more scams are possible, and commonly used with mail ballots. That is why they are currently the method of choice for election fraud.

 

Handicapped voters

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Since 2002 another requirement has been added to the voting process by the Help America Vote Act. That federal law requires that provision be made for handicapped voters to be able to vote unassisted.

As the deadline has passed for implementing those measures one is left wondering how the requirement that individual handicapped voters be able to vote unassisted are met in a mail-in election?

Or are handicapped voters simply to be left to fend for themselves in mail ballot elections?


 

Cost, voter turnout, and convenience

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Three specious reasons commonly given to justify mail/absentee balloting are:

(1) Lower cost,

(2) Increased voter turnout, and

(3) Voter convenience.

Costs

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The most common reason given to justify the necessity for an all-mail ballot election is lower cost. Aside from the point that the primary requirement for election officials is to provide an open, honest, and secure election, there is little evidence that an all-mail ballot election costs anymore than a well-run election done in polling places.

However, the typical cost comparison between a polling place election and a mail ballot election ignores the facts that a polling place election today is burdened with the HAVA mandates that every polling place have at least one expensive electronic voting machine that allows handicapped voters to cast a ballot unassisted, as well as provisional balloting that commonly requires at least one extra election judge in each polling place. These federal mandates are the reason a polling place election now appears to cost more. Table 1 shows a comparison of costs typically incurred in polling place and all-mail ballot elections.

Most election districts now also have early voting in polling-place elections, an additional expense. Further, most election districts also allow "no excuse" absentee balloting as well and roughly a third of voters now use that method even when polling places are available.

If the extremely expensive, and demonstrably unreliable and untrustworthy electronic voting machines were eliminated, and hand-counted paper ballots used, then the cost differences would disappear. Even with all the current impedimenta the cost difference is only about 20-25% more for a polling place + absentee + early voting + provisional ballot election, depending on whose numbers are used.

There appears to be little reason for early voting when voters can vote absentee, and that expense could easily be eliminated without significant inconvenience to voters and at considerable savings for the cost of an election.

I would also advocate returning to a requirement that a voter appear in person to obtain an absentee ballot. The current "no excuse" method of writing or calling to get a ballot is alarmingly insecure, particularly coupled with mail-in voter registration, as it currently is. Having the voter appear in person is infinitely more secure and saves the costs of mailing as well.

Voter turnout

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The other chestnut that is inevitably trotted out to justify, and ignore the obvious dangers of mail ballot elections, is the claim that they increase voter turnout. I have looked at that claim using election statistics from 1992 through 2006 provided by the El Paso County, Colorado, county clerk. [Note: Table 2 is reproduced below.]

Voter turnout is clearly unrelated to whether the election is an all-mail ballot one or not.

The results from 21 elections are summarized in Table 2. There are 4 presidential races, 3 off-year congressional races, 5 coordinated county elections, 7 primary races, and 2 municipal elections included in the summary. Colorado law currently prohibits mail ballot elections in federal races so the three mail ballot elections included in Table 2 involve county and municipal elections only. But there are enough of each type of election to draw some preliminary conclusions.

Summarizing by type of election and in order of voter turnout:

Presidential elections — These elections are usually of most interest to voters and the turnout, ranging from a low of 59% to a high of 81% in the four presidential races in Table 2 reflects that interest. Voter turnout in presidential elections is always higher than in any other type of election and these are always polling place elections under current Colorado law. Percent of voters who used absentee ballots ranges from a low of 9% before "no excuse" absentee voting began circa 1993, to 25% in the 2004 election and 35% in the 2000 election after "no excuse" absentee balloting was introduced.

Congressional elections — Off-year congressional elections combined with state legislator races are also of great interest to voters. In the three races in Table 2 voter turnout ranges from a low of 46% to a high of 51%. Again, these are polling place elections under Colorado law. When "no excuse" absentee voting was initially permitted only 14% of voters used that method. As "no excuse" absentee voting was implemented, and distrust of electronic voting machines grew, 30-31% of voters now use an absentee ballot.

Coordinated elections — These involve election of county officials and often tax or local issues. Five coordinated elections are included in Table 2 including one all-mail election in 2001. Voter turnout in coordinated elections ranges from a low of 19% to a high of 36%. The all-mail ballot election, with a turnout of 31%, falls in the middle of this range. The use of absentee ballots in these elections is consistently rather low, ranging from 8-12% when "no excuse" absentee voting first began, increasing to only 14-21% after it became common.

Municipal and special district elections — It is in these types of elections that use of all-mail balloting is most dangerous. The numbers of eligible voters is smaller, special interests are likely involved, e.g. developers, and the outcomes can usually be more readily changed by differences of a few hundred votes. Two of these elections, both mail ballot elections, are listed in Table 2. Numerous problems with the April 2003 Colorado Springs mail-ballot election are detailed elsewhere. Turnout was a modest 37% for that election, which had a large number of candidates for city offices and a tax issue on the ballot. The December 2006 school district election had only a 20% turnout.

Primary elections — These occur in August and voter apathy is apparent in the five primary elections in Table 2, which seldom have any real contests in heavily-conservative El Paso County. Turnout ranges from a pathetic 7% to 21%. Even a hotly contested Republican primary in 2006 for a congressional seat only provoked a turnout of barely 17%. When voters do participate in primary elections they now tend to vote more often by absentee ballot than in other types of elections. After "no excuse" absentee voting was introduced 22% of votes were mail ballots in the 2000 primary, increasing to 40% in 2006. It is also worth noting that electioneering was quite successfully used to influence those who voted absentee in the August 2006 primary election.

Clearly, voter turnout is influenced more strongly by the type of election, with presidential and congressional elections always drawing the largest turnouts, than by whether voting is based on polling place elections or mail ballot elections are used. Allowing "no excuse" absentee voting after 1993 has clearly increased the use of that method, with concomitant increases in the ease of casting fraudulent ballots and the virtual certainty that is now being done in many elections.

Convenience

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One can't logically ascribe any voter's desire to avoid standing in line for hours at a polling place and, thus, choosing to use an absentee ballot as a matter of "convenience." Instead, the increased use of absentee ballots appears to be the direct result of malfeasance by election officials and voting machine manufacturers whose expensive, unreliable, and untrustworthy voting machines have made polling place voting more difficult and time consuming, and deservedly increased public distrust and ire over election misconduct by orders of magnitude.

"Convenience" is a justification only the morally bankrupt would use for promoting the use of mail ballots.

It seems obvious that, at best, misguided efforts to increase voter turnout by making it more "convenient" to cast a ballot by mail have radically increased the probability and ease of election fraud. That contravenes the entire basis for an election and undermines the foundations of our democracy.

With the legions of scandals surrounding electronic voting machines, which are also used in a "backroom" to count mail ballots, public trust in fair and honest elections is plummeting. All-mail ballot elections have the appearance of simply one more effort by election officials to hide their mistakes and the problems with electronic voting machines, further increasing public distrust.

Charles E. Corry, Ph.D., F.G.S.A.


 

 


 
    Table 2: Voter turnout for elections in El Paso County, Colorado, for the years 1992 through 2006.

Year

Registered

Voters

Number

Who Voted

Percent 1

Turnout

Percent

Who Voted

By Mail 2

Election

Type 3

August 1992

184,859

35,479

19.19%

3.29%

Primary

Polling place + absentee + early voting

November 1992

208,338

169,709

81.46%

9.05%

Presidential

August 1996

248,406

46,718

18.81%

6.45%

Primary

November 1996

261,837

177,262

67.70%

10.81%

Presidential

November 1997

280,784

54,238

19.32%

7.89%

Coordinated

August 1998

294,039

41,947

14.27%

5.65%

Primary

November 1998

300,468

144,234

48.00%

14.23%

Congressional

November 1999

316,767

83,404

26.33%

12.28%

Coordinated

August 2000

331,009

35,017

10.58%

21.77%

Primary

November 2000

340,006

201,662

59.31%

34.31%

Presidential

November 2001

322,550

100,613

31.19%

100%

Coordinated

Mail In

August 2002

333,424

24,787

7.43%

34.80%

Primary

Polling place + absentee + early voting + provisional

November 2002

337,121

154,764

45.91%

30.03%

Congressional

April 2003

222,691 4

(142,027)

81,709

36.69%

100%

Colorado Springs

municipal

Mail In

November 2003

321,811

89,049

27.67%

14.18%

Coordinated

Polling place + absentee + early voting

August 2004

334,839

70,264

20.98

32.38%

Primary

November 2004

354,059

242,888

68.60%

25.42%

Presidential

April 2005

229,834

34,352

14.59%

50%

Colorado Springs

municipal

November 2005

333,927

119,222

35.70%

21.08%

Coordinated

August 2006

343,010

56,641

16.51%

39.68

Primary

November 2006

349,926

177,908

50.84%

30.84%

Congressional

December 2006

143, 168

28,777

20.10%

100%

District 11 recall 5

Mail in

Notes:

1. Number who voted divided by the number of registered voters.

2. Number of voters who voted by mail divided by the total number of ballots cast in the election.

3. Precinct elections include voting at a polling place or precinct, early voting, and absentee voting by mail. All mail in elections are done exclusively by mail and ballots are only sent to "active" voters, i.e., those who voted in the last federal election.

4. Registered voters in the City of Colorado Springs, which comprises roughly two thirds of the residents of El Paso County. Note that the city clerk only lists "active" voters as "registered" voters (in parentheses) in her tabulation when the election is by mail balloting.

5 . Recall election for two Colorado Springs school district 11 commissioners conducted entirely by mail.

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Issues The Equal Justice Foundation Deals With

| Civilization | Emerson story | Families, and Marriage | Courts & Civil Liberties |

| Prohibition & War On Drugs | Vote Fraud & Election Issues |